Investing in Stocks, Cryptocurrencies and Financial Markets: Analysis and Forecasts
A Step-by-Step Plan for Beginner Cryptocurrency Investors
ATTENTION!!! Investing in cryptocurrencies involves high risk. Before making a decision, be sure to consult with a financial advisor.
1. Learning the basics
Before investing, it is important to understand how the cryptocurrency ecosystem works.
What is cryptocurrency?
- Cryptocurrency is a digital form of money based on blockchain technology. Blockchain is a distributed ledger that records all transactions.
Example:
Bitcoin (BTC): The first and most popular cryptocurrency. Designed for secure and decentralized payments.
Ethereum (ETH): A cryptocurrency that supports smart contracts - programs that automatically execute the terms of a transaction.
Key terms:
- Mining: The process of creating new coins and verifying transactions through computing power.
- Example: Miners earn BTC by confirming transactions.
- Fork: A change in the blockchain protocol that may result in the creation of a new cryptocurrency.
- Example: Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is the result of a fork of Bitcoin.
- Altcoins: All cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin.
- Example: Litecoin (LTC), Solana (SOL).
- Smart contracts: Programs that automatically execute the terms of a transaction.
- Example: On the Ethereum platform, a smart contract could handle real estate rentals.
Types of cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin (BTC): A reliable asset, analogous to digital gold.
Ethereum (ETH): The Smart Contract Leader.
Stablecoins : Cryptocurrencies pegged to fiat currencies (e.g. USDT).
DeFi tokens : Used in decentralized financial applications (Unv: v. iswap, Aave).
How do exchanges work?
Cryptocurrency exchanges are platforms for buying, selling and exchanging cryptocurrencies.
Example:
- On Binance you can buy BTC for dollars or euros.
- Coinbase offers a simple interface for beginners.
2. Choosing a reliable platform
Selection criteria:
Security: Availability of two-factor authentication (2FA), cold storage of funds.
Liquidity : The ability to quickly buy/sell an asset.
Fees : Compare fees for transactions, deposits and withdrawals.
Available cryptocurrencies: Check if the exchange supports the assets you need.
Popular exchanges:
Binance : Large selection of cryptocurrencies, low fees.
Coinbase : User-friendly interface for beginners, high level of security.
Kraken : Suitable for advanced users with advanced analytical tools.
Registration and verification:
The registration process involves account creation and identity verification (KYC).
Example:
Provide a scan of your passport/driver's license and a selfie.
---
3. Account replenishment
Methods of replenishment:
Bank card: Fast, but often high fees.
Electronic payments: PayPal, Skrill, but not all exchanges support them.
Cryptocurrencies: Transfer from another wallet.
Example:
Top up via card on Binance:
1. Go to the "Top-up" section.
2. Select a payment method.
3. Specify the amount and confirm the payment.
4. Choosing a cryptocurrency for investment
Market analysis:
Technical Analysis: Use charts and indicators.
Example: RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
Fundamental Analysis: Evaluate the project, its team, news and updates.
Diversification:
Don't invest all your money in one asset.
Example:
50% in BTC - for stability.
30% in ETH - for growth.
20% in altcoins - for diversification.
Don't give in to emotions:
Example: Don't buy a token because of social media hype.
---
5. Buying cryptocurrency
Select order type:
Market order: Buy at the current price.
Limit Order: Setting the price at which you are willing to buy/sell.
Setting stop loss:
Example: Specify that an asset will be sold if its price falls by 10%.
Storing cryptocurrency :
- Hardware wallet: Ledger, Trezor - the most secure way.
- Software wallet: MetaMask, Trust Wallet.
6. Monitoring and analysis
Analytical tools:
TradingView: Charting, trend analysis.
Glassnode: Blockchain Metrics Analysis.
Example:
Track trading volumes and capitalization to understand the dynamics of the asset.
7. Risk management
Diversification:
Spread your funds between BTC, ETH and a few promising altcoins.
Don't invest all your funds:
Keep some of your capital in stablecoins for emergencies.
8. Taxes
Example: In some countries, income from cryptocurrencies is subject to capital gains tax.
Additional recommendations:
Start with small amounts: Example: $100–500 to explore the market.
Emotional Control: Don't sell assets in a panic.
Education: Read books, blogs, take courses.
Communities: Join Telegram, Reddit, Twitter groups to share experiences.
Remember that investing in cryptocurrencies requires patience and discipline.
Warning:
Investing in cryptocurrencies involves high risk. Before making any decisions, be sure to consult with a financial advisor.
---
1. Learning the basics
Before investing, it is important to understand how the cryptocurrency ecosystem works.
What is cryptocurrency?
Cryptocurrency is a digital form of money based on blockchain technology. Blockchain is a distributed ledger that records all transactions.
Example:
Bitcoin (BTC): The first and most popular cryptocurrency. Designed for secure and decentralized payments.
Ethereum (ETH): A cryptocurrency that supports smart contracts - programs that automatically execute the terms of a transaction.
Key terms:
Mining: The process of creating new coins and verifying transactions through computing power.
Example: Miners earn BTC by confirming transactions.
Fork: A change in the blockchain protocol that may result in the creation of a new cryptocurrency.
Example: Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is the result of a fork of Bitcoin.
Altcoins: All cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin.
Example: Litecoin (LTC), Solana (SOL).
Smart contracts: Programs that automatically execute the terms of a transaction.
Example: On the Ethereum platform, a smart contract could handle real estate rentals.
Types of cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin (BTC): A reliable asset, analogous to digital gold.
Ethereum (ETH): The Smart Contract Leader.
Stablecoins: Cryptocurrencies pegged to fiat currencies (e.g. USDT).
DeFi tokens: Used in decentralized financial applications (Uniswap, Aave).
How do exchanges work?
Cryptocurrency exchanges are platforms for buying, selling and exchanging cryptocurrencies.
Example:
On Binance you can buy BTC for dollars or euros.
Coinbase offers a simple interface for beginners.
---
2. Choosing a reliable platform
Selection criteria:
Security: Availability of two-factor authentication (2FA), cold storage of funds.
Liquidity: The ability to quickly buy/sell an asset.
Fees: Compare fees for transactions, deposits and withdrawals.
Available cryptocurrencies: Check if the exchange supports the assets you need.
Popular exchanges:
Binance: Large selection of cryptocurrencies, low fees.
Coinbase: User-friendly interface for beginners, high level of security.
Kraken: Suitable for advanced users with advanced analytical tools.
Registration and verification:
The registration process involves account creation and identity verification (KYC).
Example:
Provide a scan of your passport/driver's license and a selfie.
---
3. Account replenishment
Methods of replenishment:
Bank card: Fast, but often high fees.
Electronic payments: PayPal, Skrill, but not all exchanges support them.
Cryptocurrencies: Transfer from another wallet.
Example:
Top up via card on Binance:
1. Go to the "Top-up" section.
2. Select a payment method.
3. Specify the amount and confirm the payment.
4. Choosing a cryptocurrency for investment
Market analysis:
Technical Analysis: Use charts and indicators.
Example: RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
Fundamental Analysis: Evaluate the project, its team, news and updates.
Diversification:
Don't invest all your money in one asset.
Example:
50% in BTC - for stability.
30% in ETH - for growth.
20% in altcoins - for diversification.
Don't give in to emotions:
Example: Don't buy a token because of social media hype.
---
5. Buying cryptocurrency
Select order type:
Market order: Buy at the current price.
Limit Order: Setting the price at which you are willing to buy/sell.
Setting stop loss:
Example: Specify that an asset will be sold if its price falls by 10%.
Storing cryptocurrency:
Hardware wallet: Ledger, Trezor - the most secure way.
Software wallet: MetaMask, Trust Wallet.
---
6. Monitoring and analysis
Analytical tools:
TradingView: Charting, trend analysis.
Glassnode: Blockchain Metrics Analysis.
Example:
Track trading volumes and capitalization to understand asset dynamics
7. Risk management
Diversification:
Spread your funds between BTC, ETH and a few promising altcoins.
Don't invest all your funds:
Keep some of your capital in stablecoins for emergencies.
8. Taxes
Example:
In some countries, income from cryptocurrencies is subject to capital gains tax.
Additional recommendations:
Start with small amounts: Example: $100–500 to explore the market.
Emotional Control: Don't sell assets in a panic.
Education: Read books, blogs, take courses.
Communities: Join Telegram, Reddit, Twitter groups to share experiences.
Remember that investing in cryptocurrencies requires patience and discipline.
Tradernet
Haven't encountered investing? This is for you!
The stock market, whose history spans more than two centuries, has proven itself as a reliable and honest instrument for making profit. Currently, it is available to everyone at any convenient time and in any place.
It originated in Europe in the Middle Ages, when merchants began to pool their capital to finance large trading expeditions.
The first official stock exchange appeared in Antwerp in 1531, where brokers and moneylenders met to discuss trades and debts. However, real shares as we know them today came later, in 1602, when the Dutch East India Company issued the first paper shares.
These shares allowed investors to buy and sell shares in a company, making it much easier to invest and spread risk. Over time, stock markets became an important part of the global economy, facilitating business and trade.
To open your account, you just need to install the application (I will use Tinkoff as an example), order a free card if you do not have one yet. Within one or two days, a courier will arrive to you, with whom you can complete all the necessary formalities. After that, you will have access to your account, where you can make transactions to buy and sell assets.
1. Broker
You must choose a broker. For example: I am comfortable with Tinkoff Investments, someone is more comfortable with VTB Investments, you can choose Interactive Broker, or Freedom Finance, which is usually used outside the Russian Federation in the CIS, quite good.
Tinkoff Investments
BCS World of Investments
VTB My Investments
2. Deposit
Deposit any amount you want to trade. It doesn't matter to me how much you deposit, because I repeat - I only show my trades and don't receive any % from brokers, as you can see, I don't give any referral links, I don't need it
Your profit will depend on your amount. My portfolio on two brokers is around 10,000,000 rubles, on Tinkoff it is around 3,000,000 at the moment
Usually they start with 50-100 thousand rubles, but again - you can top up as much as you have free funds that you don’t need urgently.
3. Buy & Sell
Buy and sell assets. You can do it according to my transactions, you can choose the companies yourself, it's your business!
To buy an asset, simply select a company in the search and click on it. (In the video I will show two purchase options)
- Option - you buy at the market price offered by the broker. Just click market price, enter the quantity and buy. That's it - the promotion is yours!
- Option - you buy by the glass. Go to the glass and see at what minimum price people are selling it now. Click and buy, the promotion is yours!
Purchase Target Correction Growth
4. Strategy
When the stock rises above the price you bought it, you can sell it the same way you bought it, the logic and system are absolutely the same!
You can set goals for yourself. Let's say take 10-20-30-100% of the company's profit and fulfill them, waiting for a certain price
Personally, I give 3 goals at once. And I reach them at 50/30/20% of the volume.
Let's say I buy company "N" at a price of $10 for a total of $1000 (100 pieces)
I set three goals: $11, $12, $13
When the price reaches $11, I will sell 50 shares (50% of the volume)
When the price reaches $12, I will sell 30 shares (30% of the volume)
And when the price reaches $13, I will sell the remaining 20 shares (20% of the volume)
BTC transfer FAQ
Bitcoin Transactions: How to Check BTC Transfer (TX, ID, Accelerator)
A few rules to correctly calculate and reduce the commission for transferring cryptocurrency between wallets and the exchange. How to cancel an unconfirmed bitcoin transaction (if BTC has left, and the transaction is at the end of the queue).
Bitcoin transactions without commission?
This guide will help you understand the fees when transferring or exchanging BTC. You need to know their amount not only to save money, but also so that your tx does not get stuck in the unconfirmed status.
Commissions in the Bitcoin network are payments for completing a transaction (transferring BTC between users' wallets, paying for purchases and services, transactions for exchanging rubles for Bitcoin and vice versa).
Bitcoin transactions typically involve a pseudo-two-tiered fee (a fiction that newbies should be aware of).
So, you pay:
For the work of miners (they look for a nice hash to confirm the transfer and seal the successful block).
And also a percentage for processing your request (on the wallet developer's side, when withdrawing BTC from an account on the exchange, when exchanging or buying bitcoins, for example, on Local Bitcoins or Cex.io ).
The first part is called Transaction Fees or Mining Fees.
In the blockchain explorer where you can track a bitcoin transaction, it appears as “Fees” and is charged in BTC.
It is this that allows you to manage the queue of your transaction (abbreviated TX) in the general pool of unconfirmed transfers (Mempool). The principle: the higher the commission you declare (fee – a reward for miners), the faster your transaction will be sent to the block and successfully included in the general Bitcoin blockchain.
Simplified diagram:
1. You sent BTC from your wallet to an exchange account or someone else's wallet.
2. The transaction includes the transaction amount in bitcoins + confirmation fee (mining fee).
3. BTC is debited from your wallet. You receive a hash of the bitcoin transaction (its ID), which you can use to track the operation and, if necessary, speed it up (the transfer can no longer be cancelled).
4. The transaction gets into the Bitcoin Mempool, its status is unconfirmed. Here's how you can imagine it.
How to Reverse a Bitcoin Transaction? No Way.
5. Miners see the backlog of transactions, arranged in descending order of the advertised mining fee, and choose the ones that will pay them the most.
6. These transfers are verified and included in the next block (a limited volume of records that is added to the overall Bitcoin blockchain).
7. If you specified an acceptable commission level, your transfer was selected by miners and sealed in a new block - this is the first confirmation of the transaction.
Good, but not secure (one block can be rigged during an attack on the network).
8. Now your transfer will reach the recipient (it will appear in the “Deposits” tab on the cryptocurrency exchange or will be reflected in the wallet balance).
But 1 confirmation is not enough for further work (you will be denied the transfer due to the risk of double spending of BTC). You need to wait for the second confirmation.
9. When miners find the next block after yours, your transaction will receive a second confirmation. This is enough for many exchangers and stock exchanges, however, protection against manipulation is still weak (two blocks can also be rolled back by replacing the transfer data).
At this point, your BTC will appear on the exchange balance. Gate or CoinEx will allow you to spend your bitcoins to buy other cryptocurrencies.
Further, each new block that miners confirm moves your transaction further back in the blockchain, making it less vulnerable.
10. Finally, after finding the 6th block (your transaction receives 6 confirmations), it can be considered fully completed and cannot be recalled (cancelled) by third parties. If you buy bitcoins, be sure to wait until this stage.
About cryptocurrencies (subjective side)
Let us highlight the main points of the cryptocurrency market that are inherent in the legal systems operating in the vast majority of all countries in the world.
Global (official-subjective) definition of cryptocurrencies.
1. Cryptocurrency is a virtual asset, not an electronic currency or a regular currency.
2. Trading (purchase/sale) is not regulated by law and is not licensed/controlled by the Central Bank.
3. We warn clients about the risks associated with investing in cryptocurrency, namely: fraud during conversion, unfavorable commissions or exchange rates, wallet conversion, loss of personal data, freezing of the amount by the exchange platform when converting virtual currency into a single currency, loss of the amount in the event of bankruptcy of the exchange platform, high volatility of the exchange rate at which virtual currencies could be exchanged, etc.
The main problems and risks of cryptocurrency:
1. Malicious/virus programs.
2. Hacker attacks.
3. Lack of legal basis and legal risks. Bitcoins are intangible digital codes that have no property rights. If they are stolen from a virtual wallet, the owner can neither identify the thief (due to anonymity and decentralization) nor confirm the rights to the coins (due to the lack of a law on personal property).
4. Bankruptcy and closure of scholarships.
5. Lack of guarantees of return on investment.
6. The collapse of the virtual currency market.
7. Volatility = instability.
Cryptocurrency is unstable, unregulated, offers no protection for investors, is highly volatile, and is highly attractive to scammers. That is why anyone investing in Bitcoin or trading cryptocurrency must first consider the risks in order to take the necessary steps.
Inflation 8.5%
Don't get fooled! - a bull trap is forming. Many naively believe that lower inflation = endless market growth and the beginning of a new trend.
Of course, we can't rule out this option, but its probability is no more than 10%.
90% indicate that we are approaching a bull trap, when there will be false breakouts of important resistances and then the market will start to cool down again to the surprise of onlookers and those who want to see Tesla at 1000
Don't forget about the other statistics, because inflation is not the only problem. All is well while the labor market is strong, but will it be so in a while?
PayPal (12.02)
This deal will bring 110% profit . The company is ready for growth!
Many have begun to forget about the company $PYPL , but this should not be done, because:
1) It was dropped so low last year that it became one of the most undervalued "non-junk" companies on the market.
2) A really good service for fast transfers around the world.
3) The technical picture speaks for a long, as does the fundamental one.
One of the most promising companies for 2023-2024 on the western side.
China, USA, Russia 2023
We shouldn't expect explosive growth this year, but we shouldn't expect a deep crisis either. Most likely, we will get more positive than negative, because the economy is cyclical and the downward trend will soon be replaced by depression, quickly turning into recovery.
• Chinese market
I see potential in the companies of this region and I think it is high time for them to grow. I think that this year will be a key moment when the "celestial empire" will forget about the coronavirus and allow the country's economy to live and develop in peace
The index target is 23,000-24,000 points (+15% from current)
•American market
What to expect from the US is very important for the whole world. I think we have another opportunity to go really deep down to 3.100-3.300 points , but the index targets are higher by the end of the year than we are now.
•Russian market
The target for the index has a wide range due to the fact that there is no clear information on the end of the SVO, which will give positive results to our market, but the lower growth target is 2,600 points and the upper one is 3,200 points.
The market is cyclical
The market was cyclical 100 years ago when we didn't exist, it is cyclical now.
Economists discovered cycles of varying lengths, substantiated them, and they are still relevant today.
•When you see a fall in the index of America, China, Russia, Brazil or any other country, which lasts for N amount of time, and you also see the reasons for this fall, you immediately notice which cycle it belongs to, thus, you can draw conclusions about the timing of the correction.
Any cycle has 5 general phases : peak, decline, depression, recovery and growth.
It is obvious that we are now in the “fall” or “depression” stage, it depends on the specific cycle.
The next stage is known to you, but unknown to people who think the index will fall another 60-70-80%. Knowing the stage, you have a certain strategy and assets that are worth buying.
US Forecasts
Spotify, Shopify, Moderna, Salesforce
• 1 company - $SPOT
A very, very promising asset, which in the long term has a target of at least $200, but if we consider it in the short term, $130 is a very realistic price due to the probable future rebound of the index and convergence on the paper (stop $90-95 at your discretion).
•2 company - $SHOP
Everything is clearly visible on the chart. The probability of a rebound is quite high, it is better to set the stop at $24.5-25 and if it is executed, the re-entry will be at the level of $15-17 per share.
• 3 company - $MRNA
Two scenarios are presented on the chart. The short-term target is $165, there is a possibility of a small spill if the index goes to support at 3750-3800 points.
• 4 company - $CRM
Either we have a rebound now, or a little down to $130-135 and from there we will get a rebound.
What is the best way to trade such ideas? Enter only with a position that is several times smaller, which will allow you to gain some of the volume at lower values. Your position should not exceed 1% of the deposit for each company (this is the maximum, since the risks are high now).
Apple (29.08)
Deal of the year completed in a week
Few believed it, but you can't fight the trend - $AAPL fell by almost 7% , but I’ll tell you more, most likely, this is not the limit.
Naturally, we, as literate investors, will set a stop at +2% and reduce the position volume by 50%, but we will be able to close the rest at $152-156 already in September (there is such a possibility)
Therefore, we have completely protected ourselves with a stop, closed part of the profit and are sitting quietly, waiting for the 14th iPhone and the subsequent drain.
Farfetch Ltd. (29.08)
+63% in two days
Just yesterday I made a post that $FTCH is ready to grow further and it is enough to just put a stop, as it soared even higher and is already bringing incredible interest in a few days.
Look at the screenshot above, see the black line? Now this is the current stop for our position. Now it is worth reducing 30% and leaving the rest up to 200% of income.
Carvana (28.08)
+200-400% profit in the next few years!
The company is called - $CVNA. It sells used cars online door to door. Incredibly interesting business model, growing revenue, great prospects.
Insiders have been buying shares from the bottom all May and could likely continue to do so if the price returns to that level.
There are also difficulties: 1) large debts 2) the key rate hits business 3) no profit and some others.
This asset is suitable only for those who love risk and know that you cannot take such companies more than 1% of the deposit, and even better, even less.
The idea has a lifespan of 2-3 years, because you need to understand that the market is facing hard times ahead and it is even harder for such companies to survive them.
USD
Fed Report
•Most likely the rate will be raised by 0.75%, 10% probability that by 1% (unlikely, since it will greatly shock the public, easier twice in a row by 0.75%)
•Will this be negative? It depends little on the rate itself, but rather on Powell's words, what the Fed will do next and how harshly the information will be presented.
•Most likely there will be no severe shock; they will again say that the labor market is strong and an increase is appropriate until inflation starts to steadily decline.
•How will this affect the US economy? Badly. Like everything that is happening. Companies are having a hard time, layoffs are happening, loans are becoming a luxury rather than a common occurrence - development is hampered, they have been in recession for a long time.
•The main goal is to defeat inflation at any cost - it will be achieved, you can be sure of that, but what will have to be sacrificed?
I wonder, how do you think, is it hard to get out of this, but this too shall pass. Soon other problems will appear, mark my words, and inflation will be forgotten in a year or two.
